Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.112527 1.264337 1.429766 1.623503 1.844295 2.088227 2.378369
2025-12-21 0.860199 1.061965 1.300983 1.605396 1.983405 2.438198 3.028203
2025-12-28 0.747712 0.977730 1.266518 1.656518 2.170842 2.827895 3.734238
2026-01-04 0.641546 0.878848 1.191133 1.633439 2.246049 3.067965 4.260212
2026-01-11 0.582111 0.830331 1.170633 1.673077 2.399460 3.416782 4.959196
2026-01-18 0.524291 0.775183 1.131888 1.678413 2.499334 3.694059 5.578687
2026-01-25 0.469039 0.716377 1.079802 1.655646 2.551214 3.900950 6.108553
2026-02-01 0.418802 0.659002 1.022782 1.617294 2.572026 4.058151 6.571622
2026-02-08 0.376317 0.608808 0.970976 1.580187 2.588285 4.205626 7.028305
2026-02-15 0.350480 0.582204 0.953015 1.594207 2.686096 4.489340 7.732840
2026-02-22 0.323581 0.551043 0.924348 1.586840 2.745922 4.713198 8.354147
2026-03-01 0.297739 0.519093 0.891172 1.567950 2.782815 4.899067 8.923590
2026-03-08 0.266786 0.477944 0.842848 1.525795 2.788813 5.056418 9.507359
2026-03-15 0.242626 0.446840 0.809825 1.509236 2.842640 5.311684 10.317590
2026-03-22 0.230633 0.436344 0.812171 1.557207 3.020487 5.813233 11.658408
2026-03-29 0.210728 0.408780 0.779970 1.535547 3.061267 6.056588 12.515050
2026-04-05 0.200216 0.398060 0.778296 1.572747 3.221499 6.549995 13.941443
2026-04-12 0.187035 0.380626 0.761659 1.577755 3.316120 6.920082 15.151405
2026-04-19 0.172401 0.358706 0.733805 1.556388 3.352641 7.172371 16.134270
2026-04-26 0.157821 0.335404 0.700785 1.520395 3.353327 7.347293 16.963612
2026-05-03 0.144813 0.314127 0.669879 1.485568 3.352371 7.517567 17.801572
2026-05-10 0.137192 0.303750 0.661128 1.498727 3.460589 7.943109 19.293948
2026-05-17 0.128566 0.290289 0.644342 1.491812 3.521481 8.266134 20.577034